TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Umia FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Umia FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Volume:
$28,432

$12M

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 7:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$12M

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
predict

$12M

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$517
$1,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$8M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
predict

$8M

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$957
$1,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$25M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$2,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
predict

$25M

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$491
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$18M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
predict

$18M

View
98%
49%
Yes 98¢No 2¢
—
$1,387
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
predict

$35M

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$2,843
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$35M

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
predict

$75M

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,250
$2,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$75M

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$958
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$50M

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
predict

$50M

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group tracks whether Umia's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds one day after its official launch. The markets resolve based on the FDV calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price at the defined time post-launch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict markets share identical resolution logic including launch criteria, FDV calculation method, timing definition, and expiration date.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch

Core resolution logic:

  • Only official Umia tokens launched after market creation qualify; stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens are excluded
  • Token must be actively and publicly tradable to count as a valid launch
  • FDV = total token supply × token price from most liquid source
  • Resolution time is strictly 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch
  • Markets expire and resolve to "No" if no qualifying launch occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the official token launch, or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Umia's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Umia (https://x.com/umia_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Umia's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Umia (https://x.com/umia_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

The short_topic dashboard aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of Umia reaching a specific fully diluted valuation one day after its launch. It displays current odds, trading volume of $28,432, and 24-hour volume of $10,825, letting users compare consensus views and spot divergences in expectations.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment about Umia's market capitalization shortly after its debut. Current odds show a strong bias toward higher valuation scenarios, suggesting many participants expect rapid growth. The implied probability often diverges from traditional spot price forecasts because prediction markets price in perceived risk and momentum, not just current supply-demand balances. This dynamic makes the Umia FDV milestone market a useful contrarian signal — when odds shift sharply, it can precede notable price action in the underlying asset.