TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:49 AM EST
Polymarket
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ulyanovsk Oblast on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ulyanovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ulyanovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ulyanovsk Oblast on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ulyanovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ulyanovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks. The current implied chance reflects the best available prices across all active orders. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, with larger trades moving the odds if they exceed available depth at key price points.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official vote tallies, and the market settles accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable news sources and official election commission announcements as the date approaches.
Key signals that could move this market include major polling updates, candidate debates, scandals or endorsements, shifts in campaign funding, and regional voter registration changes. Economic announcements or federal policy decisions affecting Ulyanovsk may also influence trader sentiment. Any event that alters perceptions of electability or voter sentiment can cause rapid odds fluctuations.