TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
limitless

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Volume:
$11

0.2–0.3%

 - Limitless

0.2–0.3% - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 8:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

0.2–0.3%

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Negative

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.0–0.1%

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.4–0.5%

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

0.6–0.7%

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0.8–0.9%

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

1.0%+

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final GDP figure will be drawn from official UK statistical releases, determining which market range aligns with the reported quarterly growth rate.

Key events such as UK monetary policy decisions, major fiscal announcements, global growth shocks, or shifts in consumer and business confidence could all move this market. Traders will react to any data or policy changes that reshape expectations for UK economic performance in Q2 2026, potentially altering the odds across outcome ranges.