TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Uber Trips in Q2?
kalshi

Uber Trips in Q2?

Volume:
$106,623

above 3.75 billion

 - Kalshi

above 3.75 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 9:43 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above 3.75 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,174
N/A
N/A
$4,269
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

above 3.8 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,417
N/A
N/A
$10,759
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

above 3.6 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,541
N/A
N/A
$2,918
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

above 3.7 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,179
N/A
N/A
$3,025
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

above 3.5 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,766
N/A
N/A
$3,115
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

above 3.4 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,294
N/A
N/A
$1,554
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.85 billion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,857
N/A
N/A
$2,259
3mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.9 billion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,456
N/A
N/A
$12,406
3mo 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.95 billion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,852
N/A
N/A
$6,676
3mo 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4.0 billion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,084
N/A
N/A
$567
3mo 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4.05 billion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,916
N/A
N/A
$502
3mo 4d
No
kalshi

Above 4.1 billion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$162
3mo 4d
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether Uber Technologies will report more than 3.6 billion trips completed on its platform during the second quarter. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by Uber's official Q2 earnings report and trip volume disclosure. Watch for Uber's Q2 2026 earnings announcement on or around July 31, 2026, when the company will reveal its actual trip figures for the quarter.

Kalshi

Each threshold market resolves independently based on Uber's official Q2 trip reporting. If reported trips exceed the specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes. Multiple thresholds may resolve affirmatively if actual trip volume exceeds multiple levels. Settlement uses Uber's official quarterly earnings reports and SEC filings as the authoritative source for trip counts.

Frequently asked questions

The Uber Trips in Q2 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Uber Technologies will report above 3.8 billion trips in the second quarter. The dashboard displays the current probability estimate, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume to help traders monitor market sentiment. Total group volume across tracked venues stands at $106,623, with $23,117 traded in the last 24 hours. This market aggregates trader conviction on Uber's operational scale and trip volume performance during Q2.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader expectations about Uber's Q2 trip volume, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional analyst forecasts. While equity research teams publish periodic estimates of Uber's operational metrics, prediction markets incorporate continuous information flow and trader capital allocation. The market's current odds represent aggregated belief among active traders rather than consensus from a fixed set of analysts. Comparing market-implied probabilities to published analyst reports can reveal where professional and trader sentiment diverge on Uber's trip growth trajectory.

The Uber Trips in Q2 market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution depends on Uber Technologies' official Q2 earnings report and the trip volume figure disclosed in that filing. The market will settle based on whether reported trips exceed or fall short of the 3.8 billion threshold specified in the contract terms. Traders should monitor Uber's quarterly earnings announcements and investor communications for the definitive trip count.

Key catalysts for the Uber Trips in Q2 market include quarterly earnings guidance, management commentary on trip growth trends, macroeconomic conditions affecting ride demand, competitive dynamics in ridesharing, and any material changes to Uber's service availability or pricing. Regulatory announcements, driver supply shifts, and consumer spending patterns also influence trip volume expectations. Real-time operational metrics, if disclosed, and competitor performance reports may shift trader positioning. Closer to quarter-end, preliminary data or management commentary could trigger significant price movement as the resolution date approaches.