TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks year-over-year changes in Uber ride app downloads for August 2026, measured against August 2025 levels. The outcome hinges on whether download growth exceeds specific percentage thresholds, with data sourced from Carbon Arc's first reported value for the month.
If the Carbon Arc Uber - Request a Ride App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Uber - Request a Ride App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 101.5 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Uber - Request a Ride App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 103 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Uber - Request a Ride App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 104.5 , then the market resolves to Yes. If the Carbon Arc Uber - Request a Ride App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 106.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a crowdsourced view shaped by real-time trading. While analysts may issue periodic reports, traders adjust positions continuously based on new data, news, or sentiment shifts. This can lead to divergence — for example, if unexpected promotions or platform issues arise, this market may quickly reflect those changes.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources tracking app downloads for August, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles — major marketing campaigns, platform outages, competitor activity, or changes in user behavior due to seasonal trends or economic factors. Any news affecting Uber’s visibility or download incentives may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the market’s odds as resolution approaches.