TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 19, 2026
kalshi

How many passengers will TSA screen?

Volume:
$66

At least 2,700,000 passengers

 - Kalshi

At least 2,700,000 passengers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 6:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 2,700,000 passengers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,800,000 passengers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 1,800,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1,900,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,000,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,100,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,200,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,300,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,400,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,500,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,600,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2,900,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 3,000,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 3,100,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 3,200,000 passengers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The event tracks the volume of passengers processed through Transportation Security Administration (TSA) checkpoints across the United States on a specific future date. It reflects public interest in travel demand patterns and security operational capacity. Outcomes depend solely on the initial reported passenger count for that day, without adjustments for later updates.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first published nationwide TSA passenger screening count for October 19, 2026, as reported on the TSA’s Passenger Volumes page. The exact count is used without rounding, and only the initial publication matters—any subsequent corrections or revisions are disregarded. If the release of data is delayed, resolution is paused until the figure becomes available, provided it occurs before the contract’s expiration or any applicable contingencies. Each market has a distinct threshold: resolution occurs as 'Yes' if the published count meets or exceeds its specific numerical requirement, and 'No' otherwise. All markets share identical secondary rules governing data sourcing, timing, and handling of revisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the TSA passenger screening market tracks the current odds of various outcomes related to the number of passengers screened by the Transportation Security Administration on October 19, 2026. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $66. The total volume traded on this market is $66. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity related to this specific event.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for TSA passenger numbers on October 19, 2026. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst reports. This includes real-time event data and the collective wisdom of traders. If analyst forecasts predict a significantly different outcome than what is priced into this market, it could present an opportunity for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome, and the price movements reveal how sentiment is evolving as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passenger screening data for October 19, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passengers screened by the TSA on that date will determine which outcome pays out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the official data release. The market will then be considered settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Major economic shifts, such as a recession or significant changes in fuel prices, could impact travel demand and therefore passenger screening numbers. Unexpected events like major weather events or geopolitical instability could also disrupt travel patterns. Additionally, changes in TSA policies or security protocols, or even large-scale public health concerns, could move this market. Any news related to airline travel or overall economic conditions will likely be reflected in trading activity.