TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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TSA avg check-ins from Aug 31 to Sep 6, 2026?
kalshi

TSA avg check-ins from Aug 31 to Sep 6, 2026?

Volume:
$29,309

Above 2.25 million

 - Kalshi

Above 2.25 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.25 million

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,643
N/A
N/A
$1,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.8 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.85 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.9 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.95 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.05 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.1 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.15 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.3 million

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,051
N/A
N/A
$6,407
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.35 million

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,806
N/A
N/A
$7,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.45 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,800
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.4 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.5 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.55 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.6 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.65 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.7 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.75 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the volume of travelers passing through U.S. airports during a specific week in 2026. The outcomes depend on whether the average number of daily security screenings exceeds various thresholds, reflecting broader trends in air travel demand.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the weekly average Transportation Security Administration (TSA) airport screenings for the week ending September 06, 2026, surpass a specific threshold, ranging from 1.8 million to 2.8 million. All contracts expire at the earlier of 9:00 AM following the data release for September 06, 2026, or one week after that date, with a consistent Last Trading Date and Time of 11:59 PM on September 06, 2026. The resolution hinges solely on the official TSA-reported figures for that week, with uniform expiration mechanics across all thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the TSA check-ins market, along with a 24-hour volume of $2,527. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of various average weekly passenger screening outcomes, reflecting collective expectations for travel demand over the specified period.

Currently, this market’s implied probability differs from many analyst forecasts, which often rely on historical trends, economic indicators, and travel industry reports. Analysts may predict higher or lower traffic based on factors like holidays, economic growth, or travel promotions. Comparing this market’s odds to those forecasts offers a real-time gauge of trader sentiment versus expert predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final average of TSA screenings for the specified dates will settle the market based on official transportation security data releases.

Several signals could shift expectations before Sep 7, 2026. Key drivers include unexpected changes in travel policies, major holidays or events attracting tourism, economic announcements affecting consumer spending, or disruptions such as weather or health concerns. Any data indicating shifts in airline bookings, airport capacity changes, or fuel price adjustments may also influence this market’s odds as traders reassess likely outcomes.