TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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TSA avg check-ins from Aug 3 to 9, 2026?
kalshi

TSA avg check-ins from Aug 3 to 9, 2026?

Volume:
$7,958

Above 2.6 million

 - Kalshi

Above 2.6 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.6 million

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,536
N/A
N/A
$2,291
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.55 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
$609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.45 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.85 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.95 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.9 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.05 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.1 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.15 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.25 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.3 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.35 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.8 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.65 million

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,350
N/A
N/A
$1,739
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.7 million

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
$470
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.75 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
$372
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

These markets track the Transportation Security Administration's (TSA) average number of airport screenings over a specific week in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the weekly average will surpass various benchmarks.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether the weekly average TSA airport screenings for the week ending August 09, 2026, exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 1.8 million to 2.8 million. All contracts share uniform expiration and trading rules: they expire at the earlier of 9:00 AM following the data release for August 09, 2026, or one week after that date, with the last trading date and time fixed at 11:59 PM on August 09, 2026. Resolution depends solely on the official TSA-reported average screenings for the defined period.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate models and long-term trends, traders adjust prices based on recent data, news, and perceived risks. This can lead to divergence — for example, if travel patterns shift unexpectedly, market odds may move faster than published forecasts, offering a real-time barometer of investor and public sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect official transportation security data for the specified dates, closing the market and determining which outcome was correct based on publicly available statistics.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes — for instance, major holidays, unexpected changes in travel policies, or widespread disruptions like weather events or health alerts. Economic reports affecting consumer confidence or disposable income may also influence travel behavior. Any development that alters expected passenger volumes has the potential to move market odds as traders reassess probabilities.