TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
kalshi

TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?

Volume:
$18,201

Above 2.4 million

 - Kalshi

Above 2.4 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.4 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,085
N/A
N/A
$1,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.8 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.85 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.9 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.95 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.05 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.1 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.15 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.2 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.25 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.3 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.35 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.45 million

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,233
N/A
N/A
$5,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.5 million

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,143
N/A
N/A
$2,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.55 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.6 million

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.65 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.7 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.75 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the volume of travelers passing through Transportation Security Administration (TSA) checkpoints during a specific week. The outcomes depend on whether the average number of daily screenings exceeds various thresholds, offering different levels of certainty for participants.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the weekly average TSA airport screenings for the week ending August 23, 2026, exceed a specific threshold, ranging from 1.8 million to 2.8 million. The contract expires at the earlier of 9:00 AM following the data release for August 23, 2026, or one week after that date. Trading concludes at 11:59 PM on August 23, 2026, ensuring all positions are settled based on the officially reported TSA statistics for the specified period.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the travel volume market, along with 24-hour volume of $2,946. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for average TSA check-ins over the specified week. The interface updates in real time to reflect market activity and shifts in sentiment leading up to Aug 24, 2026.

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize seasonal trends or economic indicators, traders are pricing in a range of variables, including recent travel patterns and potential disruptions. The difference between this market’s implied probability and expert predictions can highlight areas of consensus or divergence in expectations for travel demand.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the highest probability assessment. The chance percentage and volume of $18,201 show how participants are positioning themselves based on expectations for travel demand patterns, seasonal factors, and economic indicators before Aug 24, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final average check-ins for the specified week will determine which outcome is correct, closing the market based on official transportation data.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Major economic announcements, changes in travel policies, unexpected events like natural disasters, or shifts in consumer confidence may all influence expectations for travel volumes. Additionally, seasonal trends, holidays, and fuel price movements often affect travel behavior, causing traders to adjust their positions as new information emerges prior to Aug 24, 2026.