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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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TSA avg check-ins from Aug 10 to 16, 2026?
kalshi

TSA avg check-ins from Aug 10 to 16, 2026?

Volume:
$7,910

Above 2.5 million

 - Kalshi

Above 2.5 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
$1,485
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.45 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.05 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.8 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.85 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.9 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.95 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.1 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.15 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.2 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.25 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.3 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.35 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.4 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.55 million

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,967
N/A
N/A
$2,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.6 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,271
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.8 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.65 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.7 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.75 million

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the volume of travelers passing through Transportation Security Administration (TSA) checkpoints during a specific week. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of average daily screenings, allowing participants to assess varying levels of traffic intensity during that period.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the weekly average TSA airport screenings for the week ending August 16, 2026, exceed the specified threshold, as reported by the TSA. Contracts expire at the earlier of 9:00 AM following the data release for August 16, 2026, or one week after that date. Trading concludes at 11:59 PM on August 16, 2026, regardless of the resolution time, creating a fixed deadline for all positions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the TSA travel volume market tracks real-time odds and price history for predictions about Transportation Security Administration passenger check-ins over a specific week. It also shows 24-hour volume of $627 to reflect trader interest. This single-venue view updates continuously as new bets are placed, letting participants monitor how the market sees likely travel patterns.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of inputs, including real-time betting activity and crowd sentiment. While analysts may rely on published reports and historical trends, traders on Kalshi price in immediate reactions to news, travel alerts, or economic indicators. This can lead to divergence — for example, a sudden spike in bookings could shift odds faster than most polls or expert predictions adjust.

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will compare the actual average daily TSA passenger check-ins for the specified dates against the market’s defined thresholds, using officially released transportation data. No further interpretation is needed — the numbers speak for themselves.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major news about travel restrictions, airline schedule changes, or unexpected events like weather disruptions or public health alerts may affect expected passenger volumes. Economic indicators, holiday calendars, and even fuel price trends can influence travel behavior, moving trader sentiment and thus market odds on Kalshi as new information arrives.