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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 9, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 9, 2026?

Volume:
$10,902

39.6%

 - Kalshi

39.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.6%

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,129
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,414
N/A
N/A
$2,338
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$1,627
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,590
N/A
N/A
$1,473
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.4%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$780
N/A
N/A
$617
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in the designated poll aggregation source at the exact moment of resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM Eastern Time on September 9, 2026. All markets share the same resolution source: the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table. Nine distinct outcome thresholds cover every possible approval percentage scenario - ranging from below 39.4% to above 40.0% - with specific exact-match conditions for percentages between 39.4% and 40.0%. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable outcome based solely on which threshold the measured value meets at the exact resolution moment.