TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 8, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 8, 2026?

Volume:
$107

39.6%

 - Kalshi

39.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.9%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.4%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.0%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in the designated poll aggregation source at the exact moment of resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump recorded at precisely 1:00 PM Eastern Time on September 8, 2026. The sole source for determining the outcome is the 'Approve' column value within the 'RCP Average' row of the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval'. Nine distinct numerical thresholds define potential resolutions, covering every possible outcome from below 39.4% through above 40.0%, ensuring a definitive market resolution regardless of where the actual approval average falls at the specified time.