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406,019

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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 6, 2026?

Volume:
$15,203

39.8%

 - Kalshi

39.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,416
N/A
N/A
$2,249
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.2%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,478
N/A
N/A
$1,493
Settled
No
kalshi

40.2%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,068
N/A
N/A
$1,640
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

39.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,060
N/A
N/A
$948
Settled
No
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
$661
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a fixed date and time. The outcome depends on whether the reported approval percentage meets certain precise thresholds. All determinations are based on an established, publicly available polling aggregation.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 6, 2026. The sole source for resolution is the "Approve" column value in the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval." Nine distinct outcome thresholds are defined: below 39.6%, exactly 39.6% through exactly 40.2%, and above 40.2%. If the measured average matches any of these specific values or ranges at the designated time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes hinge entirely on this single data point captured at the specified moment.