TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026?

Volume:
$306,326

38.7%

 - Kalshi

38.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.7%

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,010
N/A
N/A
$29,624
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.6%

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,545
N/A
N/A
$20,936
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.4%

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,787
N/A
N/A
$22,311
Settled
No
kalshi

38.8%

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,886
N/A
N/A
$16,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.0%

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,880
N/A
N/A
$14,900
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,716
N/A
N/A
$16,766
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,468
N/A
N/A
$13,918
Settled
No
kalshi

38.4%

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,694
N/A
N/A
$13,581
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,341
N/A
N/A
$12,913
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The event monitors public sentiment toward a political figure through an aggregated polling index at a set time and date. It determines whether the figure's favorability rating lands in one of several specific percentage points or surpasses a critical level.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on Trump's RCP approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average is below 38.4%, exactly 38.4% through exactly 39.0%, or above 39.0%. The resolution uses the value in the “Approve” column of the “RCP Average” row of the table titled “President Trump Job Approval,” with numerous exact percentage points and a final threshold all resulting in a Yes outcome.