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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 27, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 27, 2026?

Volume:
$224,583

38.7%

 - Kalshi

38.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.7%

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,866
N/A
N/A
$19,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 38.5%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,676
N/A
N/A
$19,876
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,946
N/A
N/A
$14,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,985
N/A
N/A
$17,846
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,393
N/A
N/A
$14,284
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,709
N/A
N/A
$12,905
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,521
N/A
N/A
$12,287
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,628
N/A
N/A
$10,144
Settled
No
kalshi

38.8%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,858
N/A
N/A
$9,652
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The event tracks Donald Trump's approval rating as measured by Real Clear Politics on a specific date and time in 2026. It will resolve based on whether his approval average falls below a certain threshold at that moment.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on Donald Trump’s Real Clear Politics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 27, 2026. The market will resolve to Yes for any outcome where the RCP average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5%, exactly 38.6%, exactly 38.7%, exactly 38.8%, exactly 38.9%, exactly 39.0%, exactly 39.1%, or above 39.1%. The sole source of truth is the “Approve” column value in the “RCP Average” row of the table titled “President Trump Job Approval” at the specified time. All possible numerical outcomes within this range are explicitly covered by individual rules, ensuring a definitive resolution regardless of the actual percentage recorded.