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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?

Volume:
$420,223

38.7%

 - Kalshi

38.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.7%

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68,731
N/A
N/A
$37,603
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.8%

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,890
N/A
N/A
$23,580
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,792
N/A
N/A
$33,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.5%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,797
N/A
N/A
$29,431
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,299
N/A
N/A
$32,713
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,993
N/A
N/A
$19,534
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.1%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,704
N/A
N/A
$17,105
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,465
N/A
N/A
$10,783
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,553
N/A
N/A
$6,326
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded at a set time, with various narrow thresholds defining success. It reflects how political sentiment might shift over the coming years.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RCP approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 26, 2026. Nine distinct outcomes cover every possible approval percentage: below 38.5%, exactly 38.5% through 39.1%, and above 39.1%. The sole source for determination is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table. All rules share this uniform data source and timing requirement, ensuring a clear, singular method for resolution regardless of which specific threshold is met.