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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 25, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 25, 2026?

Volume:
$386,610

38.8%

 - Kalshi

38.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.8%

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,780
N/A
N/A
$45,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,042
N/A
N/A
$25,028
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,312
N/A
N/A
$21,678
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,843
N/A
N/A
$20,363
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,892
N/A
N/A
$22,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 38.5%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,149
N/A
N/A
$17,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.1%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,567
N/A
N/A
$15,275
Settled
No
kalshi

38.6%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,400
N/A
N/A
$18,421
Settled
No
kalshi

38.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,624
N/A
N/A
$12,332
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded at a set time, with various narrow thresholds defining success. It reflects how political forecasting can hinge on exact numerical values at specific moments.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 25, 2026. The sole data source is the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct primary rules define resolution: if the average is below 38.5%, exactly 38.5% through 39.1%, or above 39.1%, the market resolves to Yes for the corresponding outcome label. All rules share the same secondary resolution source, ensuring consistency across all possible percentage outcomes.