TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026?

Volume:
$410,626

38.8%

 - Kalshi

38.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

38.8%

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,105
N/A
N/A
$34,704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 38.7%

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,271
N/A
N/A
$35,148
Settled
No
kalshi

38.7%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,898
N/A
N/A
$29,273
Settled
No
kalshi

38.9%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,564
N/A
N/A
$16,536
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,277
N/A
N/A
$27,259
Settled
No
kalshi

39.0%

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,266
N/A
N/A
$17,159
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,044
N/A
N/A
$10,538
Settled
No
kalshi

39.3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,555
N/A
N/A
$18,295
Settled
No
kalshi

39.2%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,646
N/A
N/A
$9,955
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range of values at that exact moment, using a single authoritative source for verification.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 24, 2026. The market has nine distinct outcomes, each corresponding to a specific approval percentage or range: below 38.7%, exactly 38.7%, exactly 38.8%, exactly 38.9%, exactly 39.0%, exactly 39.1%, exactly 39.2%, exactly 39.3%, or above 39.3%. The sole resolution source for all outcomes is the "Approve" column value in the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval". No other data or interpretation influences the result; the market settles entirely on this single numerical value at the specified timestamp.