TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 23, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 23, 2026?

Volume:
$270,515

Below 39.6%

 - Kalshi

Below 39.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 23, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below 39.6%

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$81,662
N/A
N/A
$31,222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.6%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,428
N/A
N/A
$31,552
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,869
N/A
N/A
$34,977
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,426
N/A
N/A
$13,428
Settled
No
kalshi

40.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,327
N/A
N/A
$15,233
Settled
No
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,623
N/A
N/A
$14,745
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,126
N/A
N/A
$13,113
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,844
N/A
N/A
$5,919
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,212
N/A
N/A
$6,467
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends entirely on where his approval rating falls at a precise moment, with various narrow bands defining success or failure. It serves as a snapshot of political sentiment at a critical juncture.

Kalshi

The event resolves based solely on the RealClearPolitics average approval rating for President Trump at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 23, 2026, as shown in the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table. Nine distinct outcome thresholds—ranging from below 39.6% to above 40.2%—define resolution, with each specific percentage value or range corresponding to a unique 'Yes' resolution. No other data sources or calculations influence the result; the market’s value hinges entirely on this single, time-bound measurement.