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406,019

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30,401

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

Volume:
$430,815

Below 39.9%

 - Kalshi

Below 39.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below 39.9%

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94,923
N/A
N/A
$49,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92,254
N/A
N/A
$41,128
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,330
N/A
N/A
$23,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.5%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,327
N/A
N/A
$22,349
Settled
No
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,852
N/A
N/A
$15,406
Settled
No
kalshi

40.3%

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,419
N/A
N/A
$18,347
Settled
No
kalshi

40.2%

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,551
N/A
N/A
$16,192
Settled
No
kalshi

40.4%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,534
N/A
N/A
$17,488
Settled
No
kalshi

40.5%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,625
N/A
N/A
$15,573
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded at a set time, with various thresholds determining success.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) average approval percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM ET on September 22, 2026. The sole data source is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table. Specific numerical thresholds—from below 39.9% up to above 40.5%—each define a distinct resolution path, with exact matches at 39.9%, 40.0% through 40.5%, and any value exceeding 40.5% all resulting in a 'Yes' outcome. No other data or interpretation influences the result; only the numerical value at the specified moment matters.