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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?

Volume:
$270,348

40.2%

 - Kalshi

40.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

40.2%

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,110
N/A
N/A
$23,124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,635
N/A
N/A
$26,415
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.8%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,364
N/A
N/A
$20,214
Settled
No
kalshi

40.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,008
N/A
N/A
$13,221
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,835
N/A
N/A
$14,116
Settled
No
kalshi

40.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,396
N/A
N/A
$10,465
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,299
N/A
N/A
$16,084
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,541
N/A
N/A
$12,213
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,161
N/A
N/A
$13,447
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks public sentiment toward a political figure by measuring their approval rating at a specific future date and time. The outcome depends on where the measured approval percentage falls within a defined range. All outcomes are determined by a single, authoritative polling average source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Republican Committee Poll (RCP) average approval rating for President Trump at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 21, 2026. The market has ten distinct outcome categories covering every possible approval percentage value from below 39.8% up to and above 40.4%. Each outcome corresponds to a specific numerical range or exact value threshold. Resolution relies exclusively on the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the 'President Trump Job Approval' table, with no alternative data sources permitted. All nine primary rules collectively ensure complete coverage of the approval rating spectrum, guaranteeing a single definitive resolution regardless of where the actual percentage falls.