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406,019

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2,689

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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 20, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 20, 2026?

Volume:
$263,091

Above 39.9%

 - Kalshi

Above 39.9% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 39.9%

View
100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,086
N/A
N/A
$16,108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,912
N/A
N/A
$20,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.3%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,785
N/A
N/A
$20,135
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,269
N/A
N/A
$13,268
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,774
N/A
N/A
$14,848
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,419
N/A
N/A
$13,407
Settled
No
kalshi

39.6%

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,680
N/A
N/A
$10,281
Settled
No
kalshi

39.3%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,567
N/A
N/A
$12,833
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,599
N/A
N/A
$12,423
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a set threshold. The resolution hinges on a single, authoritative polling aggregation published at an exact time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) average job approval percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 20, 2026. The sole source for determination is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the published table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Nine distinct outcomes cover every possible numerical result: one market resolves if the average is below 39.3%, eight resolve for exact percentages from 39.3% through 39.9%, and the final market resolves for any average above 39.9%. No ambiguity or interpolation is permitted—all outcomes depend strictly on the precise numerical value reported at the specified timestamp and source.