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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 2, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 2, 2026?

Volume:
$4,018

39.6%

 - Kalshi

39.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,438
N/A
N/A
$1,104
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,261
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
$497
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
No
kalshi

39.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

39.2%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific date and time. The outcome depends on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or exceeds a specific threshold. The resolution is based solely on the official RCP data published at the designated moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 2, 2026. If the approval average is below 39.2%, exactly 39.2% through 39.8%, or above 39.8%, the respective markets will resolve accordingly. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row in the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" published at the specified time. Each numerical boundary or range has its own distinct resolution criterion, ensuring precise alignment with the actual poll data at that exact moment.