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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 18, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 18, 2026?

Volume:
$57,720

39.6%

 - Kalshi

39.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,418
N/A
N/A
$10,655
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,936
N/A
N/A
$11,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,942
N/A
N/A
$7,839
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,834
N/A
N/A
$6,508
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,742
N/A
N/A
$3,452
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,204
N/A
N/A
$2,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,802
N/A
N/A
$2,215
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the precise percentage recorded in the designated poll aggregation source at the exact moment of evaluation.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the exact RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage for President Trump at precisely 1:00 PM Eastern Time on September 18, 2026. The sole resolution source is the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' Specific percentage thresholds determine the outcome: if the average is below 39.4%, exactly 39.4% through 40.0%, or above 40.0%, the market resolves accordingly to Yes for the matching outcome label. All percentage points between 39.4% and 40.0% inclusive have individually defined resolution criteria, ensuring a clear determination based on the exact figure captured at the specified time and source.