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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?

Volume:
$67,607

39.7%

 - Kalshi

39.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.7%

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,092
N/A
N/A
$8,168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 39.7%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,615
N/A
N/A
$10,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.3%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,349
N/A
N/A
$4,636
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,770
N/A
N/A
$4,691
Settled
No
kalshi

40.0%

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,353
N/A
N/A
$3,544
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,353
N/A
N/A
$3,370
Settled
No
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,372
N/A
N/A
$3,874
Settled
No
kalshi

40.2%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,361
N/A
N/A
$2,330
Settled
No
kalshi

40.3%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,343
N/A
N/A
$2,343
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average at a precise future date and time. The outcome depends entirely on where his approval rating falls within a narrow, predefined range at that moment, reflecting the volatility and precision of public opinion measurement in political analysis.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 17, 2026. The sole source of truth is the 'Approve' column value under the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval'. The market has nine distinct outcomes, each corresponding to a specific approval percentage range: below 39.7%, exactly 39.7%, exactly 39.8%, exactly 39.9%, exactly 40.0%, exactly 40.1%, exactly 40.2%, exactly 40.3%, or above 40.3%. If the approval average matches any of the exact percentage thresholds listed, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If it falls below 39.7% or above 40.3%, the respective markets resolve accordingly. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring a definitive resolution based on the single data point at the specified time.