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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?

Volume:
$61,949

40.0%

 - Kalshi

40.0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

40.0%

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,783
N/A
N/A
$8,870
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,900
N/A
N/A
$5,677
Settled
No
kalshi

39.9%

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,494
N/A
N/A
$5,518
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,048
N/A
N/A
$4,996
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40.3%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,949
N/A
N/A
$5,603
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 39.7%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,026
N/A
N/A
$4,311
Settled
No
kalshi

40.2%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,854
N/A
N/A
$5,756
Settled
No
kalshi

40.3%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,931
N/A
N/A
$3,252
Settled
No
kalshi

40.1%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,963
N/A
N/A
$1,341
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average at a fixed date and time. The outcome depends on where his approval rating falls within a narrow range of possible values at that moment. It reflects a snapshot of public opinion under defined conditions.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 16, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the approval average falls within any of the specified percentage thresholds: below 39.7%, exactly 39.7% through 40.3%, or above 40.3%. The sole source for determining the approval average is the "Approve" column value in the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval". Each rule corresponds to a distinct numerical range or exact value, ensuring that every possible outcome is covered by one of the defined conditions.