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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026?

Volume:
$66,545

39.3%

 - Kalshi

39.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.3%

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,936
N/A
N/A
$8,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 39.1%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,138
N/A
N/A
$7,974
Settled
No
kalshi

39.2%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,279
N/A
N/A
$6,801
Settled
No
kalshi

39.1%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,963
N/A
N/A
$6,465
Settled
No
kalshi

39.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,391
N/A
N/A
$6,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.7%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,952
N/A
N/A
$5,304
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,217
N/A
N/A
$4,096
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,397
N/A
N/A
$4,270
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,272
N/A
N/A
$4,257
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support level as measured by the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average on a specific future date. The outcome depends solely on whether his approval rating falls within a narrow range or not. It reflects how public opinion polling aggregates can be used to gauge political sentiment at a precise moment in time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump’s RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average percentage at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 12, 2026. The RCP Average value listed in the "Approve" column of the "President Trump Job Approval" table will serve as the exclusive data source for resolution. Nine distinct outcome thresholds are defined: a single "Below 39.1%" outcome, seven precise percentage matches from "exactly 39.1%" through "exactly 39.7%," and one "Above 39.7%" outcome. Any value falling within these defined conditions will determine the market’s final resolution status.