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400,720

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2,633

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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026?
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026?

Volume:
$64,564

39.3%

 - Kalshi

39.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

39.3%

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,260
N/A
N/A
$8,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Below 39.2%

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,550
N/A
N/A
$4,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 39.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,838
N/A
N/A
$7,050
Settled
No
kalshi

39.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,423
N/A
N/A
$4,231
Settled
No
kalshi

39.4%

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,583
N/A
N/A
$2,311
Settled
No
kalshi

39.5%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,225
N/A
N/A
$3,021
Settled
No
kalshi

39.2%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,313
N/A
N/A
$2,976
Settled
No
kalshi

39.7%

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,486
N/A
N/A
$2,793
Settled
No
kalshi

39.8%

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,887
N/A
N/A
$2,793
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks President Trump's public support as measured by a specific polling average on a set date and time. The outcome depends solely on the numerical value of that average at the exact moment of measurement. It reflects a snapshot of public opinion at a precise point in time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on President Trump's Real Clear Politics (RCP) approval average at exactly 1:00 PM ET on September 11, 2026. The sole source of truth is the 'Approve' column value from the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval.' If the average is below 39.2%, exactly 39.2% through 39.8%, or above 39.8%, the respective markets will resolve accordingly. Each percentage threshold—whether individual exact values or ranges—determines the specific market outcome, with precise numerical matching governing the resolution.