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471,138

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 AM EST - Oct 15, 2026, 1:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$277,067
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$130,898
0.34%

Above 38.8%

 - Kalshi

Above 38.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Time left: 12h:24m:33s

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

31%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 32¢ buys you 313 shares | Odds: 31% Total Payout: $313 | Net Profit: $213 Multiplier: 3.13x | ROI: 213% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 38.8%

Trade
31%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
1¢
N/A
$46,228
N/A
N/A
$14,351
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.8%

Trade
16%
Yes 18¢No 84¢
2¢
N/A
$22,299
N/A
N/A
$16,457
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.4%

Trade
15%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$37,034
N/A
N/A
$19,530
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.7%

Trade
14%
Yes 19¢No 86¢
5¢
N/A
$22,602
N/A
N/A
$13,291
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.6%

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$19,430
N/A
N/A
$7,951
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.5%

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$38,808
N/A
N/A
$15,400
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.3%

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$32,683
N/A
N/A
$11,648
12h 24m
active
kalshi

Below 38.2%

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$31,524
N/A
N/A
$19,179
12h 24m
active
kalshi

38.2%

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$26,458
N/A
N/A
$13,092
12h 24m
active
Total markets: 9

Description

The event tracks Donald Trump's approval rating as measured by the RCP Average poll on a specific date and time. The resolution depends on the precise percentage reported in the 'Approve' column of the designated table at exactly 1:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the value in the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row from the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval' at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific approval percentage threshold (below 38.2%, exactly 38.2% to 38.8%, or above 38.8%), with the outcome determined by whether the reported value meets the exact condition of that market.