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Trump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22)
kalshi

Will Trump post late night this week?

Volume:
$505

5-6 AM

 - Kalshi

5-6 AM - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5-6 AM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1-2 AM

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
No
kalshi

2-3 AM

View
0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

4-5 AM

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

3-4 AM

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will post on Truth Social during specific late-night hourly intervals over a week-long period. It focuses on activity within narrow one-hour windows, capturing any public posting behavior regardless of content or subsequent deletion.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Donald Trump makes at least one post on Truth Social during any of the specified one-hour intervals between 1:00 AM and 5:59 AM Eastern Time, from August 16 to August 22, 2026, inclusive. Each hour-long window — from 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM, 2:00 AM to 2:59 AM, 3:00 AM to 3:59 AM, 4:00 AM to 4:59 AM, and 5:00 AM to 5:59 AM — is assessed individually. Any post made, including those later deleted, during any of these intervals will trigger a resolution to Yes. The evaluation covers the entire specified week, and only a single qualifying post within any one of the hourly windows is required for a positive outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump late-night post market tracks real-time odds and price movements surrounding whether Donald Trump will post on Truth Social between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET during the week of August 16–22, 2026. It shows current pricing, historical trends, and 24-hour volume of $344 to help users monitor market sentiment and betting activity for this specific political event.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will watch for any Truth Social activity by Donald Trump between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET each night of the specified week; the first occurrence during that window determines the result, while absence of such a post across all days leads to the alternative outcome.

News about Donald Trump’s schedule, unexpected delays or cancellations, commentary from his team, or major political developments could shift expectations and move this market. Any indication of a planned late-night address, rally, or controversy may increase trading toward the 'yes' side, while quiet periods or confirmed absences from the platform could push odds toward 'no'. Real-time reactions to these signals drive price changes as traders reassess probabilities.