TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Trump approval rating on May 1?
polymarket

Trump approval rating on May 1?

Volume:
$34,561

39.0–39.4

 - Polymarket

39.0–39.4 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

39.0–39.4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

39.5–39.9

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40.0+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38.5–38.9

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<38.0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38.0–38.4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.