TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

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$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

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2,681

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5

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VS.

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Treasury 10-year yield on May 8, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on May 8, 2026?

Volume:
$439

4.37% to 4.39%

 - Kalshi

4.37% to 4.39% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: May 8, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.46% to 4.48%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
kalshi

4.58% to 4.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

4.21% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.49% to 4.51%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.52% to 4.54%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.55% to 4.57%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event predicts the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on May 8, 2026. The market covers a comprehensive range of possible yield rates, with resolutions defined across multiple bands spanning from below 4.22% to above 4.60%.