TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Treasury 10-year yield on May 4, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on May 4, 2026?

Volume:
$1,332

4.43% to 4.45%

 - Kalshi

4.43% to 4.45% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 5, 2026

Closed: May 4, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,060
N/A
N/A
$1,056
Settled
No
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

4.21% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.46% to 4.48%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.49% to 4.51%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.52% to 4.54%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.55% to 4.57%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.58% to 4.6%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.61% or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on a specific date in May 2026. The market captures the expected interest rate environment at that future time, reflecting expectations about Federal Reserve policy, inflation, and economic growth conditions.