TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Financials
Treasury 10-year yield on May 11, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on May 11, 2026?

Volume:
$1,617

4.41% to 4.43%

 - Kalshi

4.41% to 4.43% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 12, 2026

Closed: May 11, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.41% to 4.43%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
$877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.35% to 4.37%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

4.23% to 4.25%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$172
Settled
No
kalshi

4.32% to 4.34%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$164
Settled
No
kalshi

4.38% to 4.4%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.26% to 4.28%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.29% to 4.31%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.44% to 4.46%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.47% to 4.49%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.5% to 4.52%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.53% to 4.55%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.56% to 4.58%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.59% to 4.61%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.62% or above

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event predicts the level of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield curve par rate on May 11, 2026, with all possible outcomes resolving to Yes. The market essentially forecasts where interest rates will settle at a specific future date, reflecting market expectations about economic conditions, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy at that time.