TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 9, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 9, 2026?

Volume:
$5,729

4.1% to 4.12%

 - Kalshi

4.1% to 4.12% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.1% to 4.12%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.16% to 4.18%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,728
N/A
N/A
$903
Settled
No
kalshi

4.19% to 4.21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
kalshi

4.13% to 4.15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
$542
Settled
No
kalshi

3.94% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
kalshi

4.07% to 4.09%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

3.95% to 3.97%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.04% to 4.06%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.34% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.01% to 4.03%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

3.98% to 4%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes on a specific date in March 2026, monitoring where the interest rate falls across a comprehensive range of possible outcomes. The market essentially covers nearly all plausible yield levels, from rates below 3.95% through rates above 4.33%, with granular bands capturing potential movements in the treasury market.