TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 27, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 27, 2026?

Volume:
$11,741

4.43% to 4.45%

 - Kalshi

4.43% to 4.45% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 27, 2026

Closed: Mar 27, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,922
N/A
N/A
$1,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.46% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,384
N/A
N/A
$1,872
Settled
No
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,515
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,387
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

4.06% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$836
N/A
N/A
$836
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$465
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

4.07% to 4.09%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

4.16% to 4.18%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.13% to 4.15%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.19% to 4.21%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.1% to 4.12%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event predicts the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on March 27, 2026. The market resolves affirmatively across a wide range of possible yield levels, essentially covering most plausible interest rate outcomes for that date.