TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 23, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 23, 2026?

Volume:
$6,178

4.34% to 4.36%

 - Kalshi

4.34% to 4.36% - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 23, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
No
kalshi

4.46% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,405
N/A
N/A
$859
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
No
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
$386
Settled
No
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

4.1% to 4.12%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

4.06% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

4.19% to 4.21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

4.13% to 4.15%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.16% to 4.18%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.07% to 4.09%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on a specific date in March 2026. The market resolves affirmatively across a comprehensive range of interest rate outcomes, effectively covering nearly all plausible yield levels from below 4.07% up to above 4.45%.