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$134.1b

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$141,541,542

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

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2,692

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5

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VS.

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61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 16, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 16, 2026?

Volume:
$3,254

4.21% to 4.23%

 - Kalshi

4.21% to 4.23% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.21% to 4.23%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.24% to 4.26%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
No
kalshi

4.48% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

4.45% to 4.47%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

4.27% to 4.29%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

4.08% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

4.42% to 4.44%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.36% to 4.38%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.18% to 4.2%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.12% to 4.14%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.3% to 4.32%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.39% to 4.41%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.33% to 4.35%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.15% to 4.17%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.09% to 4.11%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on a specific date in March 2026, measuring where long-term government borrowing costs will settle. The market encompasses virtually all possible yield outcomes, resolving to Yes across a comprehensive range of rate scenarios from below 4.09% to above 4.47%, with small gaps at only a few specific rate levels.