TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 27, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 27, 2026?

Volume:
$8,261

3.96% to 3.98%

 - Kalshi

3.96% to 3.98% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3.96% to 3.98%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,947
N/A
N/A
$1,715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.05% to 4.07%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,805
N/A
N/A
$1,462
Settled
No
kalshi

3.99% to 4.01%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,449
Settled
No
kalshi

4.02% to 4.04%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,316
N/A
N/A
$991
Settled
No
kalshi

3.89% or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
No
kalshi

3.93% to 3.95%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

4.08% to 4.1%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
kalshi

4.29% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

4.26% to 4.28%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

3.9% to 3.92%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

4.11% to 4.13%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

4.14% to 4.16%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

4.17% to 4.19%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4.2% to 4.22%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.23% to 4.25%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes on February 27, 2026. The market resolves to Yes for essentially any yield rate outcome, covering ranges from below 3.90% up through 4.28% and above, capturing the full spectrum of plausible interest rate scenarios for that date.