TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 23, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 23, 2026?

Volume:
$5,740

4.02% to 4.04%

 - Kalshi

4.02% to 4.04% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 23, 2026

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.02 and 4.04 on Feb 23, 2026?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.02% to 4.04%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$570
0%
0%
$554
N/A
kalshi

4.08% to 4.1%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,690
0%
0%
$1,004
N/A
kalshi

4.05% to 4.07%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,687
0%
0%
$1,087
N/A
kalshi

3.89% or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$916
0%
0%
$916
N/A
kalshi

4.11% to 4.13%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
0%
0%
$285
N/A
kalshi

3.9% to 3.92%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
0%
0%
$187
N/A
kalshi

4.29% or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
0%
0%
$187
N/A
kalshi

4.14% to 4.16%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
N/A
kalshi

4.2% to 4.22%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

3.93% to 3.95%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

4.23% to 4.25%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

4.26% to 4.28%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

4.17% to 4.19%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

3.99% to 4.01%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

3.96% to 3.98%

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 15

Description

This event predicts the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on February 23, 2026, capturing investor expectations about future interest rates and economic conditions. The market resolves to Yes across virtually all possible yield outcomes, effectively making it a certainty that the Treasury rate will fall somewhere within the specified ranges or outside defined boundaries.