TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This event predicts the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on February 20, 2026, across a wide range of possible outcomes. The market resolves to Yes if the rate falls within any of multiple specified bands or thresholds, essentially covering nearly all realistic scenarios for where long-term Treasury yields might settle on that date. This reflects expectations about U.S. interest rates and economic conditions roughly two years in the future.