TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Apr 6, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Apr 6, 2026?

Volume:
$2,726

4.34% to 4.36%

 - Kalshi

4.34% to 4.36% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 6, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
$1,006
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$799
Settled
No
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

4.16% to 4.18%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

4.19% to 4.21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

4.12% or below

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.13% to 4.15%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.46% to 4.48%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.49% to 4.51%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.52% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on April 6, 2026, measuring where long-term borrowing costs for the U.S. government will settle at that future date. The outcome captures market expectations about inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve monetary policy over the coming years.