TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Treasury 10-year yield on Apr 10, 2026?
kalshi

Treasury 10-year yield on Apr 10, 2026?

Volume:
$10,601

4.31% to 4.33%

 - Kalshi

4.31% to 4.33% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 13, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.31% to 4.33%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,815
N/A
N/A
$2,634
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.34% to 4.36%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,109
N/A
N/A
$1,202
Settled
No
kalshi

4.37% to 4.39%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
No
kalshi

4.28% to 4.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$963
N/A
N/A
$892
Settled
No
kalshi

4.52% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

4.25% to 4.27%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$160
Settled
No
kalshi

4.4% to 4.42%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

4.19% to 4.21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

4.12% or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

4.16% to 4.18%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

4.22% to 4.24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

4.13% to 4.15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

4.43% to 4.45%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.46% to 4.48%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.49% to 4.51%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event predicts the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes on April 10, 2026. The market covers all possible yield outcomes across a comprehensive range, tracking how U.S. long-term borrowing costs may evolve over the next several years.