TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket

Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Volume:
$234,439

$40M

 - Polymarket

$40M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 6:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$40M

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
polymarket

$5M

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
polymarket

$20M

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
Yes
polymarket

$80M

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$100M

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$150M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$300M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$200M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$500M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
polymarket

$400M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 3mo
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2028. Resolution hinges on whether Tread's fully diluted valuation reaches the specified threshold at any point during the first 24 hours after its official launch. The exact determination method depends on data sources and timing definitions established by the market creator. Traders should review the market's resolution criteria before trading to understand how launch time is defined and which valuation snapshots will be used to settle the outcome.

Key catalysts include Tread's official launch date announcement, exchange listing confirmations, and pre-launch tokenomics releases. Positive signals such as major exchange partnerships, celebrity or influencer endorsements, or strong community growth could increase the probability of exceeding the FDV threshold. Conversely, regulatory concerns, delays, or competing token launches could reduce it. Market-wide crypto sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, and broader altseason momentum will also influence trader expectations about Tread's initial valuation trajectory and trading volume.