TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)
kalshi

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)

Volume:
$67,353

Above 20

 - Kalshi

Above 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,650
N/A
N/A
$5,763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,955
N/A
N/A
$4,487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,115
N/A
N/A
$9,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,751
N/A
N/A
$11,840
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,770
N/A
N/A
$4,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,641
N/A
N/A
$1,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,353
N/A
N/A
$1,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 125

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

Global trade activity through the Strait of Hormuz will be closely watched during the specified week. The strait serves as a critical passage for oil tankers, and any fluctuations in transit volumes can reflect broader geopolitical tensions or economic conditions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the total number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz, as reported by the IMF PortWatch, exceeds a specific threshold between August 10, 2026, and August 16, 2026. The total is calculated by summing the daily counts for the entire period. Resolution occurs no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.