TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)
kalshi

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)

Volume:
$362,668

Above 20

 - Kalshi

Above 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 12, 2026

Closed: May 12, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,176
N/A
N/A
$32,536
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,036
N/A
N/A
$36,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,892
N/A
N/A
$21,418
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,697
N/A
N/A
$29,639
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,076
N/A
N/A
$15,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,426
N/A
N/A
$8,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,385
N/A
N/A
$11,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,547
N/A
N/A
$7,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,433
N/A
N/A
$4,986
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical chokepoints for global oil and shipping commerce, during the week of May 4-10, 2026. The measurement is based on the number of transit calls recorded by IMF PortWatch, a maritime monitoring system that tracks vessel movements through the strait. The event captures data on international shipping activity through this strategically important waterway.