TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
kalshi

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

Volume:
$257,610

Above 40

 - Kalshi

Above 40 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 27, 2026

Closed: May 27, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,190
N/A
N/A
$42,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,093
N/A
N/A
$25,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,231
N/A
N/A
$18,490
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,861
N/A
N/A
$15,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,533
N/A
N/A
$11,124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,051
N/A
N/A
$4,302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,163
N/A
N/A
$2,416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,185
N/A
N/A
$15,754
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,218
N/A
N/A
$12,819
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,084
N/A
N/A
$7,576
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil and shipping commerce, during the week of May 18-24, 2026. The market measures the number of transit calls recorded by IMF PortWatch during this specific period. The resolution depends on whether actual transit activity exceeds various thresholds during the observation week.