TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/27 - 5/3)
kalshi

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/27 - 5/3)

Volume:
$236,658

Above 30

 - Kalshi

Above 30 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 12, 2026

Closed: May 5, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,297
N/A
N/A
$11,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,652
N/A
N/A
$29,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,901
N/A
N/A
$38,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,701
N/A
N/A
$20,352
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,141
N/A
N/A
$19,518
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,408
N/A
N/A
$10,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,409
N/A
N/A
$9,772
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,846
N/A
N/A
$5,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 160

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 140

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,285
N/A
N/A
$2,271
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
$2,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 180

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,934
N/A
N/A
$1,334
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,846
N/A
N/A
$1,752
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the volume of maritime traffic transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical chokepoints for global oil and trade flows. The observation period covers April 27 to May 3, 2026, with resolution based on official transit call data from IMF PortWatch. The market measures shipping activity levels during this specific week in the strategically important waterway.