TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)
kalshi

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)

Volume:
$98,518

Above 50

 - Kalshi

Above 50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,561
N/A
N/A
$11,617
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,358
N/A
N/A
$11,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,316
N/A
N/A
$5,632
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 35

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,807
N/A
N/A
$5,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,812
N/A
N/A
$5,046
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,464
N/A
N/A
$3,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,765
N/A
N/A
$3,181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,012
N/A
N/A
$3,499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,540
N/A
N/A
$2,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,048
N/A
N/A
$2,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$275
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil and shipping commerce, during the week of March 30 to April 5, 2026. The market measures the number of transit calls reported by IMF PortWatch during this period, reflecting shipping activity and potential geopolitical or economic disruptions affecting one of the world's most strategically important waterways.