TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Traffic through the Panama Canal? (7/27 - 8/2)
kalshi

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (7/27 - 8/2)

Volume:
$1,137

Above 175

 - Kalshi

Above 175 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 175

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 225

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 275

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the volume of ship transits through the Panama Canal over a specific week. It reflects how busy maritime trade routes become during that period. The outcome depends on whether the total number of transits meets certain thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of transit calls through the Panama Canal, as reported by the IMF PortWatch, from July 27, 2026, to August 2, 2026. Each market has a different threshold: above 175, above 200, above 225, above 250, or above 275 transits. The total is calculated by summing the daily counts across the entire period. Regardless of the specific threshold market, all share the same calculation method and resolution timing. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $139 for the Panama Canal traffic market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different traffic levels through the canal during the specified period, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources tracking the number of vessels transiting the Panama Canal during the specified window, closing the market based on observable facts.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 4, 2026. Key shipping data releases, including monthly transit figures and vessel scheduling updates, will be closely watched by traders. Any disruptions — whether from weather events, labor actions, or changes in global trade patterns — could dramatically alter expectations. Additionally, announcements about new canal expansion projects or regulatory changes may influence market sentiment. Traders will also monitor broader economic indicators that affect shipping demand, such as commodity price trends and regional trade agreements.